World wakes up to the potential of the potato TRADE AND MARKETING Possible future potato supply and production 2015-2050 2015 2020 World population Supply at 2010 rate Production at 2010 supply rate Supply at historic rate Production at historic rate Supply kg/hd/yr Area at 2010 rate Area at historic rate Asia Population Supply at 2010 rate Production at 2010 supply rate Supply at historic rate Production at historic rate Supply kg/hd/yr Area at 2010 rate Area at historic rate China Population Supply at 2010 rate Area at China target & historic yield rate India Population Supply at 2010 rate Production at 2010 supply rate Supply at India target Production at India target Area at 2010 yield Area at historic yield rate Europe population Supply at 2010 rate Production at 2010 supply rate Supply at historic rate Production at historic rate Supply kg/hd/yr Area at 2010 rate Area at historic yield rate EU population Supply at 2010 rate Production at 2010 supply rate Supply at historic rate Production at historic rate Supply kg/hd/yr Area at 2010 rate Area at historic yield rate Production at 2010 supply rate Production at China target Supply at China target Supply kg/hd/yr Area at 2010 yield 262.2 382.3 271.5 395.8 0.035 22.2 20.2 2025 275.2 401.1 289.8 422.5 0.036 23.7 20.6 134.2 183.8 237.3 370.2 0.050 21.4 17.5 60.3 113.1 128.6 68.5 48.4 7.2 7.1 31.6 44.3 48.1 67.4 1.6 2.4 2030 287.3 418.8 307.7 448.6 0.036 25.2 21.0 138.3 189.5 280.1 437.0 0.057 25.3 19.5 60.3 113.1 142.9 76.2 53.8 7.2 7.6 33.0 46.3 55.5 77.8 1.7 2.5 2035 298.8 435.5 325.3 474.2 0.037 26.6 21.3 2040 309.5 451.2 342.5 499.2 0.037 28.0 21.5 2045 319.5 465.8 359.2 523.7 0.038 29.4 21.7 2050 7349.5 7758.2 8141.7 8500.8 8838.9 9157.2 9453.9 9725.1 248.4 362.1 252.8 368.5 0.034 20.7 19.7 328.7 479.2 375.4 547.2 0.039 30.7 21.9 4393.3 4598.4 4774.7 4922.8 5045.5 5143.9 5218.0 5266.8 123.5 169.1 155.1 241.9 0.035 14.0 12.9 129.2 177.0 195.4 304.9 0.043 17.6 15.3 59.8 110.0 100.0 53.3 38.7 7.0 6.1 112.1 114.3 60.9 43.4 7.1 6.6 30.0 42.1 41.0 57.5 1.5 2.3 141.8 194.2 323.4 504.5 0.064 29.2 21.4 60.0 112.6 157.2 83.8 59.5 7.2 8.0 34.2 48.0 59.8 83.8 1.7 2.5 144.5 198.0 366.8 572.2 0.071 33.1 23.1 59.4 111.5 171.5 91.4 65.5 7.1 8.4 35.3 49.5 66.0 92.6 1.8 2.5 146.6 200.9 409.6 639.0 0.079 36.9 24.6 58.6 109.9 185.8 99.0 72.0 7.0 8.7 36.2 50.7 72.6 148.0 202.7 451.4 704.2 0.086 40.7 27.3 1376.0 1402.8 1414.9 1415.5 1408.3 1394.7 1374.7 1348.1 58.6 57.4 107.7 200.0 106.6 79.1 6.9 9.0 1311.1 1388.9 1461.6 1527.7 1585.3 1633.7 1673.6 1701.5 28.3 39.7 34.2 48.0 1.4 2.1 36.8 51.5 80.0 101.9 1.8 2.6 738.4 59.7 107.5 57.7 103.9 78.1 6.1 5.6 504.5 35.3 57.3 34.0 55.2 67.3 2.026 1.804 739.7 59.8 107.7 55.8 100.5 75.4 6.1 5.2 510.1 35.7 58.0 33.2 53.9 65.0 2.049 1.639 738.1 59.6 107.5 53.7 96.7 72.7 6.1 4.8 511.5 35.8 58.1 32.1 52.1 62.7 2.054 1.481 733.9 59.3 106.8 51.4 92.6 70.0 6.0 4.4 511.5 35.8 58.1 30.9 50.2 60.4 2.054 1.340 728.0 58.8 106.0 49.0 88.3 67.3 6.0 4.1 510.4 35.7 58.0 29.7 48.2 58.1 2.050 1.212 Source: calculations based on UN FAOSTAT and UN population data. Continues on next page. China currently produces 100 million tonnes of potatoes and there is a Government aim to double that production. If that were to happen then there would be a need for a 50% increase in the area growing potatoes in the country if historic yield gains are. 721.4 58.3 105.0 48.5 87.5 67.3 5.9 3.9 508.4 35.5 57.8 28.4 46.1 55.8 2.042 1.096 714.4 57.7 104.0 46.1 83.1 64.6 5.9 3.6 505.6 35.3 57.5 27.0 44.0 53.5 2.030 0.991 112.2 1.8 2.7 706.8 57.1 102.9 43.8 78.8 61.9 5.8 3.3 501.7 35.1 57.0 25.7 41.8 51.2 2.015 0.894 +32.3 +32.3 +32.3 +48.5 +48.5 +12.2 +48.5 +11.1 +19.9 +19.9 +19.9 +191.0 +191.0 +142.8 +191.0 +111.0 -2.0 -2.0 -2.0 +100.0 +100.0 +104.2 -2.0 +49.3 +29.8 +29.8 +29.8 +133.7 +133.7 +29.8 +24.6 -4.3 -4.3 -4.3 -24.1 -24.1 -20.7 -4.3 -41.8 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 -24.3 -24.3 -23.9 -0.5 -50.4 Potato World 2016 • number 1 37 Pagina 36
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