RE SEARCH The fry’s the limit That means a plant must have access to 75,000 hectares of land that can grow potatoes and there are only certain regions of the world where that is possible. The majority of the world’s potatoes are grown either side of the US and Canadian border and on a similar latitude in Europe. There are then pockets of production in China, India, parts of South America, Southern Africa and Australia and New Zealand. These regions share soil that support potatoes and have access to adequate water supplies. Modern varieties, technology, fertiliser and plant protection products have enabled growers in North America and Europe to regularly deliver yields of 40 tonnes/hectare. That is starting to happen in other parts of the world too. One of the most notable areas is China. There, local companies have teamed up with North American and European processors to build processing plants to supply the domestic market. A similar strategy is being adopted in Argentina. This means that production continues to be dominated by established players. New players can emerge Despite the dominance of established names, new players can still emerge. The latest is Turkey. In the last year it has exported almost 60,000 tonnes of fries, up from less than 20,000 tonnes last year and less than 2,000 tonnes ten years ago. Investment and focus means that countries can become significant players over time. The clearest example of this is Belgium. In the early 1990s it processed just 150,000 tonnes of fries. Now it is the world’s second largest producer at more than two million tonnes, exporting twice as many fries as the USA. World potato processing may be dominated by a handful of countries, but those countries face a challenge – their home markets are growing slowly, if at all. US processed potato production per head peaked in the early 2000s, but has now fallen by more than 10%, with any market growth coming from an increasing population rather than increasing personal consumption. It is a similar picture in Western Europe, with UK processed potato consumption per head also down by 10% since the early 2000s. The challenge of weak demand is even greater in Europe, where populations are growing slowly or even shrinking. The established fry processing countries have been successful in developing new markets, with US fry exports increasing by 44% over the last decade, Dutch sales up 63% and Belgian up 155%. Only Canada, who relies on sales to the US, has seen little growth, although its exports are still over a million tonnes a year. The largest growth over the last decade has been in sales to Eastern Europe, South East Asia and South America, where diets have been changing, favouring the consumption of processed potato products. With the Asian population set to grow by 20% to more than 5 billion people, the African population by 100% to 2.5 billion and the South American population by 22% to half a billion people over the next 30 years, there is still plenty of scope for more growth in fry sales for both established and new players. World Potato Markets is the leading weekly briefing on the production, trade and prices of potatoes and potato products. For more information contact Cedric Porter at cedric.porter@agrimakets.net or call +44 1892 543444 or see www.worldpotatomarkets.com ● Potato World 2018 • number 1 39 Pagina 38
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